E.I.R.STRATEGIC WEEKLY NEWSLETTER ALERT Volume 33, No. 42, October 17, 2019

E.I.R.STRATEGIC WEEKLY NEWSLETTER 

ALERT Volume 33, No. 42, October 17, 2019 

President Trump Kicks Over the Chessboard of British Geopolitics By announcing the withdrawal of U.S. troops from Syria, and an end to the Bush-Obama policy of perennial wars, and by directly reiterating President Eisenhower’s dramatic warning about the danger of the “military-industrial complex” that is behind the permanent wars, and threatens to seize control of national policy for their own agenda, President Donald Trump effectively kicked over the entire chessboard of post-war geo- politics. It comes just as the entire trans-Atlantic financial sys- tem – upon which that system depends for its power -- is about to blow out once again. 

Trump’s announcement provoked a virulent outcry from the war party in the United States, which dominates elected offi- cials in both parties, think tanks in the Washington, D.C. area, and most of the nation’s media. Schiller Institute Chair Helga Zepp-LaRouche, on the contrary, welcomed the shift in her Oct. 11 weekly webcast. “What Trump said is really historic,” she noted. “Because he reverses I would say at least 50 years of paradigm shift, which followed the assassination of John F. Kennedy, which led the United States on the path of the Anglo-American unipolar world rule.” This is potentially “an historic game-changer of the highest strategic importance”. (Read Trump’s statements below.) 

Provided Trump manages to carry through on his intention, despite the overwhelming power of that military-industrial complex and the entire British geopolitical system, Helga Zepp-LaRouche added, “What Trump did in this press confer- ence, I would actually say makes him an absolute candidate for the next Nobel Peace Prize.” 

Now that the chessboard has been upset, a new world or- der needs to be put into place, a New Paradigm, in which the diverse interests of nations are met on a higher level. That task is particularly urgent in South-West Asia following Donald Trump’s decision to pull the troops out of Syria (cf. belw). 

As Helga Zepp-LaRouche further commented in her web- cast, much follow-up needs to be done on that flank and it must “include close cooperation between the United States and Russia.... Take the region as a whole and start putting in development, which will only be possible with the extension of the Belt and Road Initiative, which is already in the cards. China is committed to play a key role in the reconstruction of Syria. I think this has an absolute potential of turning an 

almost hopeless region in the very near future, into a region of development and prosperity. And then the climate for recruit- ment of terrorism will change, it will dry out.” 

Trump Takes on the Military-Industrial Complex President Donald Trump’s decision to pull back U.S. troops from their positions in northeast Syria, which he announced on Oct. 6, was met with outraged opposition from geopoliti- cal forces across the board -- in Europe, the United States and around the world. They responded with a flood of disinforma- tion and outright lies, and in the United States with an even more frenzied drive to impeach the United States President. 

Since virtually no major media in Europe has covered the actual content of Trump’s statements and warnings, our news- letter has decided to provide an overview here, and let our readers judge for themselves. In a press conference on Oct. 7, he stated that U.S. forces “should never have been there [in Syria] in the first place.” Later, he added, “I don’t want to stay there for the next 40 years. It’s not going to do anything.... I campaigned on the fact that I was going to bring our soldiers home, and bring them home as rapidly as possible.” Part of keeping that promise, he said, is avoiding even more conflicts that have no end in sight. “We interject ourselves into wars, and we interject ourselves into tribal wars and revolutions and all of these things that are very— they’re not the kind of thing that you settle the way we’d like to see it settled. It just doesn’t work that way. ... It’s time to come back home.” 

In a statement released two days later, he recalled that “From the first day I entered the political arena, I made it clear that I did not want to fight these endless, senseless wars -- espe- cially those that don’t benefit the United States.” Indeed, at the time, candidate Trump also made cooperation with Russian President Putin to defeat ISIS and Al Qaeda forces, a priority of his agenda. Such cooperation with Vladimir Putin and Rus- sia was precisely what Russiagate was set up to prevent. 

In defending his decision at an Oct. 9 press conference, Trump recalled President Dwight Eisenhower’s warning in 1960 of the power of what he referred to as the “Military In- dustrial Complex” (MIC), to push the U.S. into conflicts. Today, he commented, many in Washington, D.C. “do very well with the Military Industrial Complex.” Dwight Eisenhower “had it figured right many years ago. It’s got tremendous power. They like fighting. They make a lot of money when they fight.” 

On a very personal note, Trump added that the “hardest thing I have to do by far – much harder than the witch hunt – is sign- ing letters to parents of soldiers who have been killed.” And he went on to give moving examples of the lives thus wasted. 

Just before his Oct. 9 press conference, Donald Trump had tweeted: “The United States has spent EIGHT TRILLION DOL- LARS fighting and policing in the Middle East. Thousands of our Great Soldiers have died or been badly wounded. Millions of people have died on the other side. GOING INTO THE MID- DLE EAST IS THE WORST DECISION EVER MADE IN THE HISTORY OF OUR COUNTRY! We went to war under a false & now disproven premise, WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION. There were NONE! Now we are slowly & carefully bringing our great soldiers & military home. Our focus is on the BIG PICTURE!” 

World Economic Forum Report Worries over Loss of Productivity and Failure of Bailouts A decidedly gloomy picture is presented in this year’s Global Competitiveness Report 2019, issued by the World Economic Forum. The report is said to be an indicator of how close an economy is to the “frontier” of competitiveness in various ar- eas of the economy, looking at factors such as productivity, infrastructure, labor market, innovation capability, etc. There- fore, apart from some of the usual gobbledygook, it does give an indication of where the world economy is heading. 

One troubling issue is the increase of extreme poverty worldwide, or, as the report puts it euphemistically: “the re- duction of extreme poverty is decelerating.” Although China has successfully brought hundreds of millions out of extreme poverty in the past years, other countries have not followed the example. 

Productivity growth has been slowing down since even before the 2008 crisis, the report states, while policymak- ers have fewer policy options available today than at the time “to stimulate aggregate demand.” While countries have relied on monetary policy in the past decade, the report notes, that policy “seems to have run out of steam and some countries are facing a liquidity trap.” The latter is explained as a situation in which savers respond to low interest rates and an uncertain economic outlook by hoarding cash rather than investing it. 

Another bleak fact presented in the report is that since the recession of 2008-2009, “policymakers have kept the global economy afloat primarily through ultra-loose and unconven- tional monetary policy. But despite the massive injection of liquidity — four of the world’s major central banks alone in- jected $10 trillion between 2008 and 2017 — productivity growth has continued to stagnate over the past decade.” In other words, even these experts finally admit that “helicopter money” is a failed concept. 

The WEF also notes that there are fewer options to conduct a bailout this time around. “Although loose monetary policy mitigated the negative effects of the global financial crisis, it may have also contributed to reducing productivity growth by encouraging capital misallocation. With extremely low (or negative) interest rates and ongoing deleveraging, banks have become less interested in lending to businesses and prioritized fee-generating and trading activities instead. [emphasis added]. “Further, in allocating corporate loans, banks seem to have favoured firms that were not credit-constrained (and less risky) rather than credit-constrained ones that might have more productivity potential.” 

The report makes a valid generalization, saying that “fis- cal policy that prioritizes stimulating productivity, enhancing investments in infrastructure, human capital and R&D can indeed help the economy to return to a higher growth trajec- tory, complemented by structural reforms that make it easier to innovate and enable responsible and inclusive businesses to thrive.” But when it comes down to concrete remedial mea- sures, the authors are totally off the track, falling into the trap of Bank of England Governor Mark Carney, calling for carbon taxes and subsidies, incentives for “green R&D,” and Green public procurement. 

Central Bankers’ Push for Green Finance Spells “Industry Extinction” The Governor of the Bank of England Mark Carney has warned major corporations that they have two years to agree to rules for reporting the climate risks related to their investments. If they don’t, they will have to face the consequences of having central banks and other global regulators draft their own rules and make them compulsory. Fresh from the United Nations General Assembly Climate Change summit held in New York on Sept. 23, where he spoke just after “Greta” to present the bankers’ view of the problem, Carney flew to Tokyo to attend the Task Force on Climate-Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD) conference, which took place on Oct. 9. 

The TCFD was launched in 2015 by the G20’s Financial Sta- bility Board, headed by the same Mark Carney, who had just intervened at the COP 21 about institutionalizing climate-re- lated risk. The task force’s chairman is former New York City mayor Michael Bloomberg, one of the moneybags behind the climate change radicals. Bloomberg claims he has already re- cruited four-fifths of the top 1,100 companies operating from G20 countries to this initiative. 

In Tokyo, Carney claimed that investors are more eager to put their money in corporations that report the impact their business activities have on the environment, and in particular on global warming. He said that approximately 75% of inves- tors first check a company’s disclosure record before purchas- ing shares. In fact, what he and his co-thinkers are planning is nothing less than a deindustrialization policy. 

He pointed to the fact that an estimated $90 trillion of infra- structure spending is expected between 2015 and 2030, and “the right decisions now can make sure those investments are both financially rewarding and environmentally sustainable.” 

Carney’s fanaticism runs in the family. In 2015 his wife, Di- ana Fox Carney, published a big report on Climate Risk for the London Institute for Public Policy Research (LIPPR), entitled “On the Hidden Threats that Climate Risks Pose to Prosperi- ty”, with one Jos Garman, a former political director of Green- peace UK, and currently a director in the UK for the notorious European Climate Foundation which is the major funder of the climate change radicals. Nearly every one of the 20-plus sections of this report is on some aspect of the “economic risks of climate change”. 

The LIPPR itself is a green think tank founded by media bar- on, Clive Hollick, a big funder of former British Prime Minister Tony Blair’s New Labour. Diana Fox Carney is otherwise on the Board of Directors and the Board of Ambassadors of WWF- UK, a board member of the Shell Foundation, the Friends of the Royal Society. and the “sustainable energy foundation” Ashden which is funded by the Sainsbury Family, owner of the second largest supermarket chain in the UK. 

EIR STRATEGIC ALERT WEEKLY NEWSLETTER 2 N° 42 / 2019 

Extinction Rebellion, the Foot Soldiers of the Climate Lobby Financiers The amount of media coverage in Europe given to the mo- bilization launched by Extinction Rebellion (XR) on Oct. 7, compared to the radical group’s actual influence, has been so massive that one can only suspect a concerted PR job (cf. SAS 41/19). Nonetheless, a certain backlash is building in Germany – at least against the solutions proposed, although without calling into question the scientific validity of so-called climate change. 

Jutta Ditforth, a co-founder of the German Green party in the late 1970s, who is still an eminence grise of the original leftist current of the ecology movement, warned against any cooperation with XR in a widely- circulated twitter post on Oct. 10. This is not a “non-violent climate movement,” she wrote, but a “religiously nonviolent esoteric sect”, which believes in “the apocalypse of the imminent extinction of mankind, and calls for self-sacrifice.” 

Even more interesting is the criticism of Dieter Nuhr, a lead- ing German comedian with a regular evening show on national television, who attacked the genocidal aspect of the climate campaign. In the Oct. 10 edition of the popular “Morning Brief- ing” podcast of Gabor Steingart, he denounced the climate emergency hysteria, saying that “the demands of the movement would lead to dismantling the world trade order. If that hap- pens, we do not just have millions but billions of deaths. This also escalates into a Third World War. That is no exaggeration.” If the movement’s demands were carried out one-by-one, Nuhr charged, “we would have war-like problems.” 

Although Ditfurth and Nuhr did not address the global finan- cial string-pullers behind the climate emergency propaganda, that is the theme of a new special report by our EIR, the Ger- man-language version of which has just been published under the title, Klimawahn AG (Climate Insanity Inc.). The English language version has been available since last week. https:// shop.eir.de/produkt/klimawahn-ag-wie-massengehirnwae- sche-und-finanzheuschrecken-unsere-zukunft-zerstoeren-pdf/ Moreover, the web journal of the climate-skeptical group EIKE (European Institute of Climate and Environment) also published a dossier last week exposing the “climate-industrial complex” with a list of names of companies and funds that are counting on giant profits to come from the trillions of dollars of “sustainable investments” planned by governments, such as the one in Berlin. The ideological aggressiveness of this conglomerate of green finance and investment interests, notes EIKE, makes it a successor to those forces that absorbed tril- lions of dollars for Cold War expenses and were attacked as the “military-industrial complex” by U.S. President Dwight D. Eisenhower, quoting remarks to this effect by Bjoern Lombo- rg. https://www.eike-klima-energie.eu/2019/10/12/die-klima- bewegung-verstehen-teil-3-man-folge-dem-geld/ 

The latter, a Danish scientist, has repeatedly insisted in re- cent interviews that mankind and the planet would benefit from large-scale crash programs to fight poverty and ensure clean water supplies in the developing countries, whereas “green finance” is a sham. 

After US Withdrawal, Syria Needs to Re-establish Control Over all Its Territory The situation that emerged last week in north-eastern Syria needs to be dealt with soberly rather than with the alarm spread by the mainstream media descriptions of the Turkish 

incursion into the towns on the Turkish-Syrian border, east of the Euphrates river. For several years, these towns have been under the joint control of Kurdish forces working under United States command and support ostensibly to fight against Islamic State terrorists. Whether a discussion on resolving the totality of the situation in Syria between the U.S., Russia and Turkey is ongoing or not is not clear. But what is clear, is that in this new situation, there are adults in the room, such as U.S. President Trump, President Putin and allies of the two powers such as Turkey, Iran, and Syria. Recall that Turkey, Russia and Iran are the guarantors of the Astana process which has helped stabilize large parts of the country. 

President Trump has now withdrawn U.S. troops from that area, it was confirmed on Oct. 13. He has also emphasized that it is up to Turkey, Russia, Iran, Syria and Iraq to deal with that situation. This can serve as a perfect invitation for finding a regional solution to the problem of not only Syria, but all its neighbors. Whether the US troop withdrawal was conceived as a green light by Turkey to invade northern Syria is in fact irrelevant. Turkey does have legitimate concerns that need to be addressed (cf. below). 

The key here is for the Syrian state to regain sovereignty over its northern territories lost during the regime-change war, and thus secure, as prior to 2011, the Turkish border. Ankara has referenced a 1998 agreement between Syria and Turkey, the Adana Agreement, which allows Turkey to launch limited military operations into Syrian territories in pursuit of terrorists. In an Oct. 10 statement to CNN’s Turkish TV chan- nel, Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu reiterated that the purpose of the incursion into Syria was to “remove terror- ists from this area” and that they will not go beyond the 30 km mark from the Turkish border. He said the Adana agreement could be implemented if there were a political settlement in Syria. 

Significantly, Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov has also urged Turkey and Syria to re-implement that Adana agree- ment, adding that Moscow would promote contacts “between Damascus and Kurdish organizations that renounce extremism and terrorist methods of activity.” In fact, it was announced on Oct. 12 by the SDF that, as a result of a deal with Moscow and Damascus, Syrian government troops would move into the town of Manbij. 

The only viable long-term solution is for the Syrian govern- ment to regain sovereignty over all its territories and for a reconciliation process to be launched to settle differences with both Kurdish and Arab militant groups. In addition, the recon- struction process has to be accelerated by lifting the blockade imposed on the country and the refusal of the UN and the EU to even consider any reconstruction aid to Syria, as long as President Bashar Al-Assad remains in power. Europe would do well to to follow the lead of Donald Trump and end the regime change wars. 

Under the new paradigm that is spearheaded by Russia, Chi- na, and now partially by President Trump, major and regional powers, who have been in conflict, could become cooperation partners. This could open the way to resolve all the conflicts in South-West Asia, including in Yemen, as well as potentially dangerous new ones such as between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The extension of the Belt and Road Initiative / New Silk Road to this region to move from mere security cooperation to eco- nomic cooperation and development is a step in the direction needed. 

EIR STRATEGIC ALERT WEEKLY NEWSLETTER 3 N° 42 / 2019 

Syrian Kurds Urged to Work with Damascus Many geopolitical circles in Europe have responded to the US troop withdrawal from north-eastern Syria with loud protests against the “betrayal of our allies the Kurds”. But that is a very simplistic view of the problem. In fact, Turkey has for a long time declared the Kurdish groups working with the U.S. and other western allies near its border as extensions of the terrorist Turkish Kurdish Workers Party (PKK), with which Ankara has been in armed conflict for decades because of its separatist aims. 

This fact was known to the Obama Administration and the EU countries which decided to arm, train and finance the Kurdish faction in Syria known as the People’s Defense Units (YPG), which constituted the bulk of the western coalition’s Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF). However, such collaboration was viewed as necessary to win the fight against IS. What is little noted though, is that the real origin of the problem is the regime change operation launched in Damascus by the U.S., British, French and other European forces, which led to the rise of IS in the country. 

In fact, for decades now, there has been a tendency among Kurdish political and armed groups to be willing chess pieces in the hands of whichever regional or global power promised to help them. And that has always resulted in disaster when those temporary allies’ geopolitical goals were achieved and the service of the Kurds was no longer needed. Add to that, a very strong “Kurdish lobby” in the EU, which has used the separatist aims of the different Kurdish groups in Syria, Tur- key, Iraq and Iran as a geopolitical tool. That too must come to an end. 

Schiller Institute in New York City: Space Exploration Is the Antidote to War At this point of renewed interest in and enthusiasm for explor- ing the Moon worldwide, the celebrations this year of the Oct. 5 International Observe the Moon Day, Oct. 5, involved more than 1,500 events around the world. The US Schiller Institute arose to the occasion with a conference in New York City on “Man as a Galactic Species: The Necessary Alternative to War.” The proceedings presented the reasons why space colonization shows that “man is greater than his destiny,” as moderator Dennis Speed quoted Friedrich Schiller at the start. 

In addition to six speakers, greetings came from the Russian Ambassador to the United States Anatoly Antonov (cf. below) and from Andrea Jones, Director of NASA’s International Ob- serve the Moon Night. 

Before the keynote speech by Schiller Institute Chair Helga Zepp-LaRouche, a powerful video segment was shown from a Dec. 3, 2009 webcast by Lyndon LaRouche (“Let’s Indus- trialize the Moon Now, as the Basis for Future-Based Space Exploration”). Speaking at a time when the U.S. and other economies were still reeling from the financial crash of 2008, LaRouche showed that space research promised the greatest increases in human productivity if supported with productive credit. He proposed to adopt the industrialization of our satel- lite as an immediate mission. 

Helga Zepp-LaRouche opened her presentation by proclaim- ing Oct. 5 a “totally joyous day”, and declaring that “Moon fever is a healthy disease.” Space projects, she showed, prove that that “mankind is capable of overcoming all apparently in- surmountable obstacles.” 

Those obstacles, and the cooperation among nations needed to overcome them, were discussed in detail by Science and Technology Counselor at the Consulate General of China in New York, Dr. Xing Jijun, who spoke on “The Approach to U.S.-China Cooperation in Science.” He stressed that, contrary to the widespread belief in the US, China is not atempting to dominate the world in space research, but rather strives for cooperation, although for the moment, NASA is still prohib- ited by the Congress from working together with the Chinese space agency. 

Benjamin Deniston of the Schiller Institute addressed the colonization of the Moon as the first step of mankind’s journey into the Solar System. Dr. Aaron Olson, former NASA Research Fellow, next spoke on “Mining Helium-3 on the Moon,” show- ing hardware and concepts involved to make this happen. 

Signals specialist Joseph Foster gave a lively historical sweep of technological development, beginning in 1946, with the first bouncing of radar signals off the Moon up through the present, and what is planned for the Artemis Project. 

Is anything true because even a lot of scientists believe it? That was the polemical question raised by Jason Ross, a sci- ence adviser to the Schiller Institute. In his presentation on “CO2 Reduction Policy -- Costly, Deadly and Unnecessary,” he debunked with great humor the current claims about a “cli- mate emergency”. 

The proceedings of the conference are available in English on the EIR website . 

Greetings to SI Conference from Russian Ambassador to the United States Ambassador Anatoly Antonov of the Russian Federation sent the following greetings to the participants of the Oct. 5 Schil- ler Institute conference. 

“For centuries, people had been dreaming of the conquest of space. Russia is proud that it was our compatriot, Yuri A. Gagarin, who made the first space flight on April 12, 1961 and thereby opened a new era in the history of humankind. This event was a scientific and technological breakthrough which paved the way to unexplored horizons. More than 560 people have been on the Earth orbit since then. Thanks to cosmonauts, scientists and engineers from different countries, unique technologies were created which now serve all people on the planet. 

“As leaders in space exploration, Russia and the United States have a long history of constructive cooperation in this sphere. We jointly implemented such large-scale projects as ‘Soyuz-Apollo’ and ‘Mir-Shuttle’. Nowadays, we are success- fully working at the International Space Station. 

“I am sure that our countries’ productive collaboration in space will continue for the sake of progress and development of all humanity.” 

E.I.R. STRATEGIC ALERT www.eir.de Published by: E.I.R.GmbH, Bahnstr. 4, 65205 Wiesbaden Tel.: 0611/73650, Fax: 0611/9740935, Email: info@eir.com Verantwortl. f. d. Inhalt: Dean Andromidas, Claudio Celani Subscription: EUR 3000/ ISSN 0936-7527 © E.I.R. GmbH Alle Rechte vorbehalten, auch die des Nachdrucks von Auszügen, derphotomechanischen Wiedergabe und der Übersetzung, Printed in Germany 

EIR STRATEGIC ALERT WEEKLY NEWSLETTER 4 N° 42 / 2019