PEACE IS HANGING BY A THREAD

 PEACE IS HANGING BY A THREAD

Written by Konstantinos Konstantinidis Amphiktyon World Peace is literally hanging by a thread. The two weeks that Mr. Trump extended could be either for finding a diplomatic solution, but most likely for better preparation of the operation. This war has many variables: 1/Either to remain limited or 2/ To develop into a global conflict. In the first case, it will be fought with conventional weapons. But if Iran secretly possesses some nuclear weapons, then it will evolve into a nuclear one, as Israel possesses at least one hundred (100) and a maximum of two hundred (200) warheads. The possibility that the US will destroy Iran's nuclear facilities with the penetrating super bomb is questionable because: The experts do not guarantee the destruction at the depth where the facilities are located, which may also be empty from the W.O. because Iran may have transferred them. It does have the know-how but may not yet have reached the point of building a W.O. Therefore, the US will risk a war as they did in the two "Desert Storms" against Iraq and in the end the treasure turned out to be coal. A huge lie by the CIA and Mossad with tragic results. The same poor assessment was made for the overthrow of Gaddafi and Libya is still in anarchy. But let's assume that they achieved their goal and destroyed the nuclear facilities in Fordow and elsewhere. What will the next day be? The worst? - To close the Straits of Hormuz with mines and gunfire with enormous economic consequences for the world. - To unleash the winds of terrorism. - To involve China and Russia in the conflict. - To activate the Islamic countries of the region, especially Turkey and Pakistan, and to overthrow the Egyptian regime? No state can have absolute security today, no matter how strong its security forces are, because the weapon of the poor has been discovered, namely the ammunition transported by "drones". Iran currently does not pose a direct threat to Israel if hostilities cease. However, it is hindering the West's strategic plans to isolate China and create a new supply axis from India, Arab sheikhdoms, Israel, Cyprus, Greece to the West for the transport of energy and goods. If Iran hinders the long-term plans of the US, they will try at all costs to neutralize it. The cost is expected to be high and in addition to air, naval and missile forces, capable ground forces will be needed to decapitate the theocratic regime and install a secular regime friendly to the US (as happened in WWII in Japan)? In this case, will NATO participate? With bold planning, anything is possible Will the UN Security Council and Congress approve the operation or will it be done arbitrarily? These variables and others that the writer ignores are before Mr. Trump before he signs it. There is always calm before the storm. However, the military headquarters are in a state of maximum excitement. The best solution in this case is negotiation, but this is very problematic with Islamic countries because they are deceitful and uncooperative. This is how the operation will most likely be carried out. *Amphiktyon Major General (retd) Konstantinos Konstantinidis Author, Member of the Society of Greek Writers amphiktyon@gmail.com http://amphiktyon.blogspot.com/ http://amphiktyon.org Anyone who wishes to be deleted should return this with the indication "deletion" "in accordance with article 14 of law 2672/98